When bad news is good news: Geopolitical risk and the cross-section of emerging market stock returns

A Zaremba, N Cakici, E Demir, H Long - Journal of Financial Stability, 2022 - Elsevier
Using a news-based gauge of geopolitical risk, we study its role in asset pricing in global
emerging markets. We find that changes in risk positively predict future stock returns. The …

Macroeconomics matter: Leading economic indicators and the cross-section of global stock returns

H Long, A Zaremba, W Zhou, E Bouri - Journal of Financial Markets, 2022 - Elsevier
Leading economic indicators assist in forecasting future business conditions. Can they also
predict aggregate stock returns? To answer this question, we examine six decades of data …

Trade competitiveness and the aggregate returns in global stock markets

M Chiah, H Long, A Zaremba, Z Umar - Journal of Economic Dynamics and …, 2023 - Elsevier
Using the change in the real effective exchange rate (REER) to reflect trade
competitiveness, we examine its role in the cross-section of global equity returns. The …

Changes in shares outstanding and country stock returns around the world

H Long, M Chiah, A Zaremba, Z Umar - Journal of International Financial …, 2024 - Elsevier
Motivated by stock-level evidence of the issuance anomalies, we examine whether a similar
effect drives the cross-section of country stock returns. To this end, we investigate six …

Why isn't composite equity issuance favored by the stock market? A risk-based explanation for the anomaly

H Yu - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2024 - Elsevier
Composite equity issuance anomaly is puzzling. This study presents a risk-based
explanation that complements and transcends the behavior-based explanation by prior …

[HTML][HTML] Asset Allocation with Crypto: Application of Preferences for Positive Skewness

A Ang, T Morris, R Savi - The Journal of Alternative …, 2023 - jai.pm-research.com
Bitcoin (BTC) returns exhibit pronounced positive skewness with a third central moment of
approximately 150% per year. They are well characterized by a mixture of Normals …

Interest rate changes and the cross-section of global equity returns

A Zaremba, N Cakici, RJ Bianchi, H Long - Journal of Economic Dynamics …, 2023 - Elsevier
Interest rate changes typically affect equity values. However, if investors react slowly, the
repricing may stretch over time. Using a century of data from sixty countries, we demonstrate …

Composite equity issuance and the cross-section of country and industry returns

H Long, M Chiah, A Zaremba, Z Umar - Applied Economics, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Behavioural finance literature argues that stock issuance contains information on equity
valuation. If so, does it predict the cross-section of both country and industry stock returns …

Implied volatility across geographical markets and asset classes

JP Velev, BC Payne, J Tresl… - The Journal of …, 2018 - jod.pm-research.com
This study analyzes the implied volatility-index return relationship across asset classes,
geographical regions, and time, extending efforts that document the instantaneous relation …

The Concave and Convex Profiles of Productive and Scarce Assets

M Golts, GC Jones - Available at SSRN 4792666, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We argue that most investable assets and strategies cluster into two broad groups:
productive and scarce. Intuitively, productive assets have high equity beta and positive carry …