[HTML][HTML] On the predictive power of CAPE or Shiller's PE ratio: The case of the Greek stock market

D Kenourgios, S Papathanasiou, AC Bampili - Operational Research, 2022 - Springer
This paper examines the capability of the Cyclically Adjusted Price to Earnings (CAPE) or
Shiller's P/E ratio, along with other relative valuation ratios such as the P/E and the P/BV, to …

Predicting the equity premium with financial ratios: A comprehensive look over a long period in Korea

D Park, J Hahn, YH Eom - Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2024 - Elsevier
This study investigates whether financial ratios, such as the dividend-price, price-to-book, or
price-earnings ratios, reliably predict the equity premium in Korea. We construct the longest …

[BOOK][B] Improving US Stock Return Forecasts: A'Fair-Value'Cape Approach

JH Davis, R Aliaga-Díaz, H Ahluwalia, R Tolani - 2017 - mebfaber.com
The accuracy of US stock return forecasts based on the cyclically-adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio
has deteriorated since 1985. The issue is not the CAPE ratio, but CAPE regressions that …

Ultra-Simple Shiller's CAPE: How One Year's Data Can Predict Equity Market Returns Better Than Ten

TK Philips, A Kobor - Journal of Portfolio Management, 2020 - search.proquest.com
Abstract Professor Robert Shiller's cyclically adjusted price/earnings ratio (CAPE) has
proven to be a powerful descriptor, as well as a useful predictor, of long-term equity returns …

A modified Shiller's cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio for stock market index valuation in a zero-interest rate environment

R Catanho, A Saville - Investment Analysts Journal, 2022 - journals.co.za
The cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio (CAPE) is a tool that has become widely used to
predict market returns. However, recently, deterioration in its forecast strength has surfaced …

The best of both worlds: Forecasting us equity market returns using a hybrid machine learning–time series approach

H Wang, H Ahluwalia, RA Aliaga-Díaz… - Available at SSRN …, 2019 - papers.ssrn.com
Predicting long-term equity market returns is of great importance for investors to strategically
allocate their assets. We apply machine learning methods to forecast 10-year-ahead US …

Predictability of Stock Returns in Central and Eastern European Countries

P Pietraszewski - Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica, 2022 - ceeol.com
Stock return predictability in highly developed countries has both empirical and theoretical
justification in financial literature. The article aims to answer the question if market valuation …

The analysis of stock returns in the London Stock Exchange in the context of the cyclical adjusted price to earnings ratio signals.

WYI Alshaer - 2022 - rgu-repository.worktribe.com
This thesis aimed to analyse the signalling capability of the Cyclically Adjusted Price to
Earnings (CAPE) ratio and to analyse the performance of asset pricing models in the context …

Does the values premium exist in international portfolios by combining CAPE ratio with Book-to-market in well-developed european markets

FH Amini - 2022 - repositorio.ucp.pt
This paper examines if the value premium still exists when incorporating market-level and
firm level conditions together. To evaluate my research, I have presented several tested …

Estimating Long-Term Expected Returns

R Ma, BR Marshall, NH Nguyen… - Available at …, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
Estimating long-term expected returns as accurately as possible is of critical importance.
Researchers typically base their estimates on yield and growth, valuation, or a combined …