The Halloween indicator,“Sell in May and Go Away”: Everywhere and all the time

CY Zhang, B Jacobsen - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2021 - Elsevier
To answer the sceptics, we use all historical data (62962 observations) on all stock market
indices worldwide to verify the robustness of the so-called Halloween Indicator or Sell in …

Trader-company method: a metaheuristic for interpretable stock price prediction

K Ito, K Minami, K Imajo, K Nakagawa - arXiv preprint arXiv:2012.10215, 2020 - arxiv.org
Investors try to predict returns of financial assets to make successful investment. Many
quantitative analysts have used machine learning-based methods to find unknown profitable …

Significance testing in accounting research: A critical evaluation based on evidence

JH Kim, K Ahmed, PI Ji - Abacus, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
From a survey of the papers published in leading accounting journals in 2014, we find that
accounting researchers conduct significance testing almost exclusively at a conventional …

Large sample size bias in empirical finance

M Michaelides - Finance Research Letters, 2021 - Elsevier
The vast majority of empirical studies in finance employ large enough sample sizes and use
the conventional thresholds for statistical significance. This routine practice can potentially …

Directional and bidirectional causality between US industry credit and stock markets and their determinants

SJH Shahzad, SM Nor, S Hammoudeh… - International Review of …, 2017 - Elsevier
We examine the causal links between US industry-wise credits and stock markets. The full
sample bootstrap Granger causality results show that all stock markets Granger cause their …

Stock returns and investors' mood: Good day sunshine or spurious correlation?

JH Kim - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper critically evaluates the significant weather effect on stock return reported in two
seminal studies of investors' mood on stock market. It is found that their research design of …

Advanced financial data processing and labeling methods for machine learning

S Bounid, M Oughanem… - … Conference on Intelligent …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The use of machine learning in the prediction of financial asset prices is gaining interest in
both academic research and the financial industry. Although these algorithms have been …

Epistemic Limits of Empirical Finance: Causal Reductionism and Self-Reference

DA Polakow, T Gebbie, E Flint - Available at SSRN, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
The clarion call for causal reduction in the study of capital markets is intensifying. However,
in self-referencing and open systems such as capital markets, the idea of unidirectional …

Using machine learning algorithms to forecast the optimal bidding rate in apartment auctions

JT Rhee, WB Ahn, KJ Oh - Quantitative Bio-Science, 2021 - dbpia.co.kr
In this paper, we use the machine learning model to make predictions about the winning bid
rate of apartments nationwide. The winning bid rate for apartments should consider various …

Application of supervised learning models in the Chinese futures market

F Tang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.04581, 2023 - arxiv.org
Based on the characteristics of the Chinese futures market, this paper builds a supervised
learning model to predict the trend of futures prices and then designs a trading strategy …