The efficacy of neural networks in predicting returns on stock and bond indices

VS Desai, R Bharati - Decision Sciences, 1998 - Wiley Online Library
This paper uses two recently developed tests to identify neglected nonlinearity in the
relationship between excess returns on four asset classes and several economic and …

New evidence on optimal asset allocation

GR Jensen, JM Mercer - Financial Review, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Brocato and Steed (1998) showed that portfolio rebalancing based on NBER business cycle
turning points substantially improves in‐sample Markowitz efficiency. In a similar vein, we …

Portfolio choice and estimation risk. A comparison of Bayesian to heuristic approaches

H Ulf, M Raimond - ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 2006 - cambridge.org
Estimation risk is known to have a huge impact on mean/variance optimized portfolios,
which is one of the primary reasons to make standard Markowitz optimization unfeasible in …

Macroeconomic influences on optimal asset allocation

TJ Flavin, MR Wickens - Review of Financial Economics, 2003 - Elsevier
We develop a tactical asset allocation strategy that incorporates the effects of
macroeconomic variables. The joint distribution of financial asset returns and the …

A Holistic Approach to Creating High Income Portfolios That Are Risk-Return Efficient and Tax Aware.

T Schlanger, B O'Connor… - Journal of Portfolio …, 2022 - search.ebscohost.com
Retirees and other investors may prefer to use dividends from equities and interest from
fixed income to fund their spending needs. This mental accounting phenomenon of …

[PDF][PDF] On the predictability of stock market returns: evidence from industry-rotation strategies

RR Grauer - Journal of Business and Management, 2008 - Citeseer
This paper investigates the value of combining a dividend yield-riskfree rate estimator of
asset means with a discrete-time portfolio selection model. Specifically, it compares the …

[PDF][PDF] The efficacy of optimization modeling as a retirement strategy in the presence of estimation error

CA McClatchey, SP VandenHul - FINANCIAL SERVICES REVIEW …, 2005 - Citeseer
We examine the time series performance of mean variance efficient portfolios in the
retirement setting. Using a rolling period optimization model we create portfolios with the …

Tactical asset allocation and estimation risk

U Herold, R Maurer - Financial Markets and Portfolio …, 2004 - search.proquest.com
In investment practice and in modern financial economics, the classical assumption of
identically and independently distributed (iid) returns over time, made by the basic version of …

International conditional asset allocation under specification uncertainty

L Barras - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2007 - Elsevier
This paper examines the impact of specification uncertainty on the performance of
international mean–variance conditional asset allocation. Specification uncertainty is …

How to diversify internationally? A comparison of conditional and unconditional asset allocation methods

D Isakov, L Barras - … Methods (January 2003). EFMA 2002 London …, 2003 - papers.ssrn.com
To obtain the maximum benefits from diversification, financial theory suggests that investors
should invest internationally because of the larger potential for risk reduction. The question …