RT Journal Article
SR Electronic
T1 Commercial Real Estate Loan Default Frequency
JF The Journal of Portfolio Management
FD Institutional Investor Journals
SP 115
OP 119
DO 10.3905/jpm.2002.319868
VO 29
IS 1
A1 George J. Pappadopoulos
A1 Jun Chen
YR 2002
UL https://pm-research.com/content/29/1/115.abstract
AB Capital allocation decisions become an even tougher issue without a consistent measure of credit risk across the entire portfolio. Although available risk management systems are helpful for a number of asset classes, none provides an adequate solution for real estate credit risk. With few appropriate inputs, and a notable lack of data on commercial mortgage default experience, an alternative approach to assessing real estate loan expected default frequency is needed. The authors discuss the calibration of a systematic risk metric to actual historical defaults. A comparison of the disaggregated results to those of past studies of defaults indicates that the metric appears to be a robust and useful tool for exposing opportunities and improving capital allocation decisions.