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Primary Article

Modeling Office Returns at the Regional Level

Susan Hudson-Wilson, Ruijue Peng and Oral Capps
The Journal of Portfolio Management Fall 2000, 27 (1) 103-110; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.2000.103
Susan Hudson-Wilson
The founder and CEO of Property & Portfolio Research in Boston (MA 02109).
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Ruijue Peng
Director of economic modeling and forecasting at Property & Portfolio Research in Boston.
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Oral Capps
A consultant at Property & Portfolio Research in Boston.
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Abstract

Investors have two problems using the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) data to make decisions. The first is that every day they are making bets based on what will happen, not what has already happened. Although the future of real estate is influenced by its past, performance in the future will not be the same. The second problem is the obvious fact that different economies and real estate markets across the country perform differently during the course of the business cycle. A national index misses these differences.

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The Journal of Portfolio Management
Vol. 27, Issue 1
Fall 2000
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Modeling Office Returns at the Regional Level
Susan Hudson-Wilson, Ruijue Peng, Oral Capps
The Journal of Portfolio Management Oct 2000, 27 (1) 103-110; DOI: 10.3905/jpm.2000.103

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Modeling Office Returns at the Regional Level
Susan Hudson-Wilson, Ruijue Peng, Oral Capps
The Journal of Portfolio Management Oct 2000, 27 (1) 103-110; DOI: 10.3905/jpm.2000.103
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